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Index: Choosing High EV Goals

What the heck are high EV goals?

Articles

  1. Taleb and Asymmetric Bets - Asymmetric bets, bounded downside, and where Talebโ€™s framework falls short.
  2. The Ratio Problem - How much floor, how many bets.
  3. Psychological Downside - The friction Taleb ignores.
  4. The Probability Question - Distinguishing worthwhile bets from lottery tickets.
  5. Identifying Unbounded Upside - Spotting fat-tail potential before you take the bet.
  6. The Floor - Where the line is between necessary floor and unnecessary conservatism.