Index: Effective Goal Setting

A framework for understanding decision making from first principles.

Articles

1. A Model for Goal Setting - Goals, properties, the priority queue, distortions, and interventions.
2. Fat Tails in Value - The top is underpriced, the middle is overpriced, the bottom is honest.
3. Taking Asymmetric Bets - Volume, cost, and capturing the arbitrage.
4. The Psychology of Failure - What it takes to act in the presence of fear.
5. The Framework - The decision procedure.